Midterm elections: Immigration and Title 42 leave Democrats in ‘bad shape’, campaign experts say

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An already tough midterm year for Democrats is about to get tougher when the Biden administration rolls back Title 42 next month, a move experts warn could lead to a rush of migrants seeking asylum in the USA.

In interviews with Fox News Digital, pollsters say ending pandemic-era deportations along the US-Mexico border is another big deal for Democrats trying to cling on to their narrow House majorities. and in the Senate.

“Democrats are in bad shape — some would say in terrible shape — heading into the midterm elections,” Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia Center for Policy, told Fox News Digital. “The Title 42 controversy does nothing to help them and likely worsens the prospects for Democrats.

“The dead giveaway is moderate, at-risk Democrats in Congress raising hell and defecting from the Biden administration’s plans.”

TEN DEMS FLIP ON BIDEN, JOIN GOP IN OPPOSITE PLAN TO END TITLE 42

What started as a handful of moderates is now turning into a dissenting chorus of frontline Democrats who say the Biden administration shouldn’t rescind Title 42 as announced for May 23 until there is have a plan to deal with a border push.

Immigrant men are arrested by U.S. Border Patrol officers at the U.S.-Mexico border on December 7, 2021 in Yuma, Arizona.
(John Moore/Getty Images)

The Title 42 order was implemented in March 2020 under the administration of former President Donald Trump to keep COVID-19 out of U.S. borders. President Biden’s administration has kept it in place amid warnings repealing it could only worsen the border crisis. But the CDC recently announced that Title 42 evictions will end on May 23 because the public health order is “no longer necessary.”

Progressives welcomed the move. But moderate and vulnerable members are divided, facing an already challenging medium-term landscape with high inflation and Biden’s low approval ratings. A worsening of the border crisis would only cause more pain.

Quoting a person familiar with the internal discussions, Axios reported On Tuesday, the White House is considering whether to pursue the repeal of Title 42 next month amid backlash from members of Biden’s own party.

“That puts them … in a very sticky spot. Moderate Democrats and progressive Democrats are arguing right now about the best midterm election strategy,” James Wallner, senior governance fellow at the R Street Institute, told AFP. Fox News Digital.

House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer, D-Md., speaks to reporters just outside the chamber of the House after a resolution calling for the removal of President Donald Trump from office was blocked by Republicans on Capitol Hill in Washington on January 11, 2021.

House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer, D-Md., speaks to reporters just outside the chamber of the House after a resolution calling for the removal of President Donald Trump from office was blocked by Republicans on Capitol Hill in Washington on January 11, 2021.
(AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)

“Progressives say we should go big even if it means we don’t succeed, and we should try to deliver on what we promised our constituents. And moderates obviously don’t say that,” Wallner added. “This is a political disagreement between these two wings of the party, I think very important.”

The growing number of Democratic senators breaking with the White House shows how “clearly concerned” they are about voter backlash, said David Winston, chairman of the Winston Group, which does polling and strategy for Republicans.

“Survey data on this specific aspect of the immigration issue is limited, but what does exist shows that independents, a critical group of voters, oppose ending Title 42 by a significant margin of 20 points,” Winston told Fox News Digital.

REP. DEM. CUELLAR JOINS BIPartisanal EFFORT TO BLOCK BIDEN’S ROLLBACK OF TITLE 42, OPPOSES TRANSPORTATION OF MIGRANTS TO DC

While inflation is the biggest problem facing Democrats, Title 42 “is just one more problem for the president and his party going in the wrong direction,” Winston said.

Senator Mark Kelly hears from a CBP agent in Douglas, Arizona.

Senator Mark Kelly hears from a CBP agent in Douglas, Arizona.
(Office of Senator Mark Kelly)

Democrats have joined Republicans in crying hypocrisy – wondering why the Biden administration is asking Congress to approve billions more in COVID-19 relief aid to deal with the ongoing pandemic as the coronavirus is apparently no longer an issue at the US-Mexico border.

In the Senate, Democratic Senators Mark Kelly of Arizona, Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona, Jon Tester of Montana, Joe Manchin of West Virginia and Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire have already introduced legislation to extend Title 42 by 60 days. and compel the Biden administration to submit a plan to Congress on how it will handle the expected influx of migrants at the US-Mexico border.

In the House, Representatives Henry Cuellar of Texas, Jared Golden of Maine, Stephanie Murphy of Florida, Greg Stanton of Arizona, Chris Pappas of New Hampshire and Tom O’Halleran of Arizona introduced similar legislation.

And Democratic Senate candidates in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio, Florida and Wisconsin have all have moved away of Biden’s border policy.

Sen. Gary Peters, D-Mich., speaks during a rally for Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden, the former vice president, at Northwestern High School in Flint, Michigan on October 31, 2020.

Sen. Gary Peters, D-Mich., speaks during a rally for Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden, the former vice president, at Northwestern High School in Flint, Michigan on October 31, 2020.
(AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)

Even Sen. Gary Peters, who chairs the Senate Homeland Security Committee as well as the Democratic Senate Campaign Committee, said Democratic Senate candidates have “a right to raise questions” about the policy.

“Unless we have a well thought out plan, I think this is something that should be revisited and possibly delayed,” said Peters, D-Mich., according to Policy.

Neil Newhouse, co-founder of Public Opinion Strategies, which polls for Republicans, sees an opening here for the GOP to make more inroads with Latino/Hispanic voters — so much so, in fact, that it holds discussion groups on immigration issues next week.

“There’s no doubt that Latino/Hispanic voters are in the bubble in this election,” Newhouse told Fox News Digital. “They’re soft in their endorsement of the president. Republicans won a large percentage of Hispanic voters in the last election.”

WHITE HOUSE DEFENDS TITLE 42 TERMINATION AS ‘RETURN’ TO ‘STANDARD’ IMMIGRATION AS MORE DEMS BUCK BIDEN

Democratic strategist James Carville said polls show people generally like immigration, “what they don’t like is the mess”. Asylum seekers have always had a special place in the United States and other countries, he said, and there are ways to test migrants entering the United States for COVID-19.

“It’s just a mistake to think that immigration is automatically bad news for Democrats,” Carville told Fox News Digital. “I’m not buying it.”

That said, Carville said the midterm elections are “not going too well right now” for Democrats given inflation, and he hopes for a turnaround by the end of the summer when gains wages will outpace rising costs.

“If you have 5% inflation and 6.5% wage growth, that will make more sense than the number of people trying to get into the country,” Carville said.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) had no comment on Title 42’s impact on the midterm elections. But House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer, D-Md., said Democrats are still seeking comprehensive immigration reform.

“We must continue to effectively secure and manage the US-Mexico border while humanely treating those with valid claims to seek asylum in the United States,” Hoyer said in a statement to Fox News Digital. “Republicans’ record on immigration policy has done nothing to solve the backlog in the immigration system, and yet they continue to ramble on this issue as Democrats in Congress scramble to come up with solutions. that improve border management and reflect our values, including comprehensive immigration reform.”

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-California, responds to reporters on Capitol Hill in Washington on Dec. 3, 2021.

House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-California, responds to reporters on Capitol Hill in Washington on Dec. 3, 2021.
(AP Photo/J. Scott Applewhite)

Meanwhile, the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) and National Republican Senate Committee (NRSC) aim to tie Democrats to the border crisis by November and also not allow Democrats who distance themselves from Biden .

“The Democrats are screwed anyway,” NRSC communications director Chris Hartline told Fox News Digital. Their base believes this is a racist Trump-era policy, while the majority of Americans are concerned that the existing border crisis will only exacerbate the cancellation of Title 42.”

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“Repealing Title 42 will drive even more voters in border communities to abandon Democrats,” NRCC spokeswoman Torunn Sinclair added.

GOP House Leader Kevin McCarthy, who is set to become the next Speaker of the House if Republicans take over the House, is addressing the issue of immigration.

“The House Democratic majority has applauded President Biden’s open border policies for more than a year, and the crisis on our southern border has only gotten worse,” McCarthy said in a statement to Fox. NewsDigital. “The American people want and deserve secure borders. The President and congressional Democrats should work to implement House Republicans’ solutions to keep American communities safe.”

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